Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.007914 0.009248 0.010835 0.012891 0.015529 0.018860 0.023489
2025-10-12 0.006308 0.007943 0.010113 0.013307 0.018081 0.025314 0.037930
2025-10-19 0.005267 0.006939 0.009314 0.013115 0.019445 0.030462 0.053784
2025-10-26 0.004642 0.006333 0.008869 0.013218 0.021167 0.036899 0.077486
2025-11-02 0.004113 0.005759 0.008330 0.012982 0.022154 0.042430 0.105555
2025-11-09 0.003610 0.005146 0.007611 0.012246 0.021904 0.045144 0.129801
2025-11-16 0.003231 0.004677 0.007057 0.011682 0.021818 0.048256 0.161451
2025-11-23 0.003028 0.004466 0.006902 0.011842 0.023389 0.056942 0.239461
2025-11-30 0.002801 0.004188 0.006590 0.011616 0.023967 0.063151 0.328231
2025-12-07 0.002580 0.003897 0.006217 0.011191 0.023909 0.067281 0.425332
2025-12-14 0.002417 0.003692 0.005979 0.011018 0.024484 0.074452 0.609558
2025-12-21 0.002335 0.003619 0.005981 0.011379 0.026732 0.091248 1.181496
2025-12-28 0.002293 0.003629 0.006170 0.012290 0.031387 0.129404 4.803146
2026-01-04 0.002200 0.003535 0.006142 0.012685 0.034690 0.169666 34.799446
2026-01-11 0.002068 0.003356 0.005913 0.012506 0.035830 0.198693 1098.812078
2026-01-18 0.001972 0.003236 0.005796 0.012602 0.038191 0.249326 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001862 0.003081 0.005581 0.012381 0.039113 0.290873 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001730 0.002872 0.005227 0.011691 0.037582 0.295880 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001621 0.002700 0.004942 0.011162 0.036631 0.309389 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001566 0.002633 0.004887 0.011312 0.039180 0.402082 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001492 0.002524 0.004723 0.011100 0.039763 0.465581 NaN
2026-03-01 0.001413 0.002398 0.004511 0.010701 0.039145 0.499682 NaN
2026-03-08 0.001354 0.002310 0.004379 0.010538 0.039841 0.587096 NaN